Sunday, January 4, 2009

Malaysian stock Market 2009 (5 Jan 2009)



03 January 2009, Malaysian stock Market study:

Last few days showed bull effect (Bursa showed 17.61 increased), especially on plantation & financial but is not the time for us go in yet.
I predicted our share market will drop a bit in few days time. Due to first badge of buyers will withdraw soon. During economy bad period normally investors will do short buying strategy. No one will know what happen on tomorrow, so for smart investors will choose shortly buying & sell during this moment.

This week study:
HSPLANT (5138):
Company Background: An Oil Palm Plantation Company
This Year stock price minimum: 1.59
This Year stock price maximum: 1.7
EPS: 5.87
Currently stock price: 1.68
Comments: After 7 months analysis on this company, found that this share have strong market value, where this share will drop while global share goes down, and it will up within few weeks while global share goes up. I.e. while OIL PALM prices drop this share drop until ~1.25 but when market start go up, it able to shoot back to ~1.8 within 2 weeks, I noticed this few times in pass 7 months. Normally a good company which making money only will shows these phenomena, because this company share drop not because of loosing money but due to global market.
Estimate: Price will shoot up to 1.8, while investors join back to the share market on this bad period.
Long term estimate (minimum 7~8 year): This share predicted with share price at 2.8.
Suggestion: suggest shortly buy in (below 1.45) & sell (above 1.8).
For those who wish to long term invest, you can buy in while the stock price still below 1.7 from now.

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